Analysis

Actor × category × time

A person-level descriptive cross-tabulation of the stored public Actor field, the stored functional Category field and the existing year grouping of each included person. Every figure is a count of included Iran Monitor fatalities, or a proportion of such counts.

Combined and disputed or qualified actor labels are reported exactly as recorded and are never split, merged or reduced to a single responsible actor; categories are likewise shown exactly as stored, and no event-level category is inferred. Each included person counts once. These tables describe the documented included fatalities only: they do not establish targeting preference, intention, risk, effectiveness, causal change, or the universe of all lethal operations. No significance test or other inferential statistic is presented. See Methodology and the Codebook for the field definitions.

Live database, data cutoff 26 August 2026. Figures describe the current working record rather than a frozen scholarly version; archived versions are listed under Releases.

114 included people are represented in this analysis, across 5 recorded category labels and 7 recorded actor labels, shown over 4 display periods. Each included person counts once. 114 of these records have a resolved grouping year and form the basis of every time-based subsection; no record lacks a resolved year, so nothing is excluded from the time subsections. Every included person record carries a stored actor label. Every included person record carries a stored category.

Actor × category

Included people by the recorded responsible actor label and the recorded functional category. Actor labels appear exactly as stored: combined labels and disputed or qualified labels remain separate values and are never split or merged. Counts can be read together with the two proportion tables below, which express the same cells as shares of the actor row and of the category column. Shading is a visual aid derived only from the cell count; every number remains visible.

Included people by recorded actor label (rows) and recorded category (columns). Category order follows the stored category order.
Recorded actor labelMilitaryNuclear/ScientificIntelligence/SecurityOthersPoliticalActor total
Israel4518231390
United States / Israel12150018
United States101002
Islamic State / armed opponents100001
Syrian actor / exact perpetrator disputed100001
Syrian rebel forces / Israel (exact actor disputed)100001
Taliban forces100001
Category total62192913114
View within-actor percentages
Composition of each recorded actor label’s included fatalities by category, as a percentage of that actor row (one decimal). Each non-empty row sums to about 100%.
Recorded actor labelMilitaryNuclear/ScientificIntelligence/SecurityOthersPoliticalRow N
Israel50%20%25.6%1.1%3.3%90
United States / Israel66.7%5.6%27.8%18
United States50%50%2
Islamic State / armed opponents100%1
Syrian actor / exact perpetrator disputed100%1
Syrian rebel forces / Israel (exact actor disputed)100%1
Taliban forces100%1
View within-category percentages
Which recorded actor labels account for each category’s included fatalities, as a percentage of the category column (one decimal). Each non-empty column sums to about 100%.
Recorded actor labelMilitaryNuclear/ScientificIntelligence/SecurityOthersPolitical
Israel72.6%94.7%79.3%100%100%
United States / Israel19.4%5.3%17.2%
United States1.6%3.4%
Islamic State / armed opponents1.6%
Syrian actor / exact perpetrator disputed1.6%
Syrian rebel forces / Israel (exact actor disputed)1.6%
Taliban forces1.6%
Category N62192913
Most common recorded actor label by category. This is a descriptive statement about the current Iran Monitor record only; ties are preserved and no single actor is selected arbitrarily.
CategoryIncluded fatalitiesMost common recorded actor label(s)nShare of category
Military62Israel4572.6%
Nuclear/Scientific19Israel1894.7%
Intelligence/Security29Israel2379.3%
Others1Israel1100%
Political3Israel3100%

Category composition over time

Display periods are 1979–2019, 2020–2024, and each year from 2025 onward shown separately. The grouping is presentation-only, because annual cells are sparse in the earlier decades; it is not a stored variable and it is not a claim about a smooth annual trend. Each cell shows the number of included people and the within-period share. No record is excluded for an unresolved year.

Included people by display period (rows) and recorded category (columns), with the within-period share.
PeriodMilitaryNuclear/ScientificIntelligence/SecurityOthersPoliticalTotal N
1979–2019342.9%457.1%0007
2020–2024763.6%19.1%327.3%0011
20252252.4%1228.6%716.7%12.4%042
20263055.6%23.7%1935.2%035.6%54
All periods62192913114

Columns are recorded category labels.

Recorded actor over time

Included people by display period and exact recorded actor label; combined and disputed labels are preserved. A changing composition of the Iran Monitor record does not establish a change in actor behaviour, in overall operation rates, or in anything beyond the documented included fatalities themselves.

Included people by display period (rows) and recorded actor label (columns), with the within-period share.
PeriodIsraelUnited States / IsraelUnited StatesIslamic State / armed opponentsSyrian actor / exact perpetrator disputedSyrian rebel forces / Israel (exact actor disputed)Taliban forcesTotal N
1979–2019457.1%00114.3%0114.3%114.3%7
2020–2024872.7%0218.2%019.1%0011
202542100%00000042
20263666.7%1833.3%0000054
All periods901821111114

Columns are recorded actor labels, exactly as stored.

Actor × category × time

One compact matrix per display period: rows are the recorded actor labels represented in that period, columns the categories represented in that period, cells the number of included people. Small cells are unstable and purely descriptive, and a zero or absent cell means that no included person in the current Iran Monitor record carries that stored combination — not that no such operation occurred. No event-level category and no primary actor is inferred.

1979–2019 · 7 included people
Included people by recorded actor label and recorded category, 1979–2019.
Actor labelMilitaryNuclear/ScientificN
Israel044
Islamic State / armed opponents101
Syrian rebel forces / Israel (exact actor disputed)101
Taliban forces101
Total347
2020–2024 · 11 included people
Included people by recorded actor label and recorded category, 2020–2024.
Actor labelMilitaryNuclear/ScientificIntelligence/SecurityN
Israel5128
United States1012
Syrian actor / exact perpetrator disputed1001
Total71311
2025 · 42 included people
Included people by recorded actor label and recorded category, 2025.
Actor labelMilitaryNuclear/ScientificIntelligence/SecurityOthersN
Israel22127142
Total22127142
2026 · 54 included people
Included people by recorded actor label and recorded category, 2026.
Actor labelMilitaryNuclear/ScientificIntelligence/SecurityPoliticalN
Israel18114336
United States / Israel1215018
Total30219354